Modeling ROI In Chronic Disease Management: A Simulation-Based Framework Integrating Patient Adherence And Policy Timing

Modeling ROI In Chronic Disease Management: A Simulation-Based Framework Integrating Patient Adherence And Policy Timing

Chronic diseases impose a sustained burden on healthcare systems through progressive deterioration and long-term costs. Although adherence-enhancing interventions are widely promoted, their return on investment (ROI) remains uncertain, particularly under heterogeneous patient behavior and socioeconomic variation.

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Simulations indicate that timing and design of chronic care policies matter significantly—programs that start early and adapt over time outperform delayed or costly low-impact interventions, helping policymakers target resources more effectively.


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